Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival Horror 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Survival Horror

Only 16 developers shipped a Survival Horror 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fear of Hot Water Ghost, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is up 305% on the market; 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 305% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $148 → $2.2k → $899 → $4.0k → $802 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,802)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 44
Announced 16
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 305% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Survival Horror
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 322 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Onee Chanbara ORIGIN older $59.99 1,217 75% 37k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) Tamsoft
Fear of Hot Water Ghost $4.99 159 69% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) nStarcube
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
DzombZ · EA older $12.99 29 68% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Houari Mohamed Amine
69 Ways to Kill a Zombie older $4.99 70 64% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) Wadup Games
RUN HARE RUN older $4.99 35 68% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) High and Wide
Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche $39.99 4 75% 120 $4.8k (exactly $4,799) n1lknarf
Survive The Dark · EA older $4.99 28 78% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) bHaptics Inc.
Slasher $4.99 27 74% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Horrid Vision LLC
冬眠(hibernation) older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) 玄机子
Maya : Ek Pishachini $4.99 17 82% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Akshat Softwares
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio
Hellfire Rampage VR $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nazar Korinnyi
Deadly Joy $2.99 9 33% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Napping Penguin
Dead Station Together $0.99 27 77% 810 $802 (exactly $802) cnsgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.