Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Destruction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Destruction 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Destruction

Of 21 developers who shipped a Destruction 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Destruction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $300 → $3.6k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Destruction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $246k (exactly $245,618)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 61
Announced 31
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Destruction; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Beat 'em up, Physics
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 1,213 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

GigaBash 2022 · $1.5M DAVIGO: VR vs. PC 2023 · EA · $900k Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae 2014 · $823k BLACKWOOD 2026 · $424k Monster: Titan's Playground 2025 · EA · $246k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GigaBash older $24.99 1,951 94% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,462,665) Passion Republic Games
DAVIGO: VR vs. PC · EA older $24.99 1,200 84% 36k $900k (exactly $899,640) Davigo Studio
Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae older $9.99 2,747 81% 82k $823k (exactly $823,276) Zenith Blue
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Monster: Titan's Playground · EA $29.99 273 91% 8.2k $246k (exactly $245,618) Stellar Knights
Aggressor · EA older $19.99 172 61% 5.2k $103k (exactly $103,148) Flashpoint Studios
Frenzy VR · EA older $14.99 205 60% 6.2k $92k (exactly $92,188) Innoverse Ltd
Pull Stay $16.99 125 97% 3.8k $64k (exactly $63,712) Nito Souji
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
Mayhemers · EA $6.99 154 84% 4.6k $32k (exactly $32,294) Anigtas
Drunkn Bar Fight 2 VR · EA $12.99 64 50% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,941) Yooperlite
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
Mineral Madness $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Whacky Mole Studio
Mosh Pit Mayhem $29.99 1 100% 30 $900 (exactly $900) Stoner Games
HIT $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) SUPER HYPER MEGA
Goofy Golfette · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) Tiba Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.