Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Hidden Object

Of 21 developers who shipped a Hidden Object 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $980, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 235% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $505 → $1.2k → $119 → $980 → $1.4k → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $980 (exactly $980)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 5% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 67
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Hidden Object; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Walking Simulator, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 53% positive over 216 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $980, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Parking Tycoon 2: Business Simulator · EA $12.99 76 43% 2.3k $30k (exactly $29,617) Geekon
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Tenders Fight older $4.99 26 96% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAU… (Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAUSS, Gabriel SOUSSI)
DYNABLASTER older $19.99 5 80% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Assassin Of Dombardos $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Saylor Games
Flannel Amethyst older $4.99 20 65% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Valkeala Software
Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle $6.99 14 28% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) 430Games
Gasnator older $4.99 18 72% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudi… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudios)
Lost Island older $4.99 17 70% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Valkeala Software, Ruskija game experie… (Valkeala Software, Ruskija game experience)
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Money Theft 3 Last Mission $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Assassin of Monsters $3.99 14 78% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Saylor games
Big Theft Valkeala $2.99 17 76% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios)
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.