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Should I ship an Exploration 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Exploration
Of 58 developers who shipped an Exploration 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 97 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 97 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 55% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) |
| Top 5% | $122k (exactly $122,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 58 |
| Released games | 163 |
| Announced | 97 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Exploration
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Exploration; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 1,954 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 97 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ELDERBORN | older | $14.99 | 2,229 87% | 67k | $1.0M (exactly $1,002,381) | Hyperstrange |
| | BLACKWOOD | $24.99 | 565 46% | 17k | $424k (exactly $423,580) | AttritoM7 Productions | |
| | Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD | older | $7.99 | 1,479 77% | 44k | $355k (exactly $354,516) | Fishlabs Entertainment GmbH |
| | Echoes of Yi : Samsara | $19.99 | 444 67% | 13k | $266k (exactly $266,267) | Runmeng | |
| | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
| | Blood Crawler | $12.99 | 279 76% | 8.4k | $109k (exactly $108,726) | c3アート | |
| | Frenzy VR | · EA older | $14.99 | 205 60% | 6.2k | $92k (exactly $92,188) | Innoverse Ltd |
| | Spider Queen cave | older | $18.99 | 159 40% | 4.8k | $91k (exactly $90,582) | 帅宅快乐屋 |
| | Skeletal Avenger | older | $16.99 | 158 82% | 4.7k | $81k (exactly $80,533) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Redemption of Liuyin | $18.99 | 137 83% | 4.1k | $78k (exactly $78,049) | kingnagame | |
| | Parking Tycoon 2: Business Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 76 43% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $29,617) | Geekon |
| | Innocent Assault SS | $10.99 | 79 84% | 2.4k | $26k (exactly $26,046) | ひみつ結社キジネコ | |
| | Fear of Hot Water Ghost | $4.99 | 159 69% | 4.8k | $24k (exactly $23,802) | nStarcube | |
| | CICADA | $9.99 | 40 92% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | daimaGAME | |
| | Project Three | · EA | $7.99 | 39 23% | 1.2k | $9.3k (exactly $9,348) | The Only Way Out |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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