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Should I ship a 2D Fighter 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + 2D Fighter
Only 16 developers shipped a 2D Fighter 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 60% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) |
| Top 5% | $7.6M (exactly $7,556,580) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 90 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, 2D Fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Fighting
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2.5D, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 9,389 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
TEKKEN 7 2017 · $82M 
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2021 · $30M 
JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R 2022 · $22M 
SOULCALIBUR VI 2018 · $18M 
Street Fighter V 2016 · $17M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | TEKKEN 7 | older | $39.99 | 68,063 83% | 2.0M | $82M (exactly $81,655,181) | BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc. |
| | Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles | older | $59.99 | 16,545 87% | 496k | $30M (exactly $29,776,036) | CyberConnect2 |
| | JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R | older | $49.99 | 14,344 91% | 430k | $22M (exactly $21,511,697) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | SOULCALIBUR VI | older | $59.99 | 9,768 83% | 293k | $18M (exactly $17,579,470) | BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corpor… (BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corporation) |
| | Street Fighter V | older | $19.99 | 27,820 72% | 835k | $17M (exactly $16,683,654) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
 | THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV | $29.99 | 8,399 83% | 252k | $7.6M (exactly $7,556,580) | SNK CORPORATION | |
 | DNF Duel | older | $49.99 | 3,693 64% | 111k | $5.5M (exactly $5,538,392) | NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING… (NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING Co., Ltd.) |
 | Capcom Fighting Collection 2 | $39.99 | 734 85% | 22k | $881k (exactly $880,580) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
 | Fight of Animals | older | $9.99 | 396 92% | 12k | $119k (exactly $118,681) | Digital Crafter |
 | Demon Sword: Incubus | older | $19.99 | 184 76% | 5.5k | $110k (exactly $110,345) | Brianode |
 | Shaolin vs Wutang Legends | · EA | $19.99 | 64 95% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $38,381) | J.Bowman |
 | CPU Invaders - 3i Atlas | $4.99 | 77 98% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,527) | Microblast Games | |
 | Streets of Rageness: Beat 'Em Up Fighter | · EA | $19.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Last Eclipse | $12.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $2.3k (exactly $2,338) | Animas Games | |
 | 2Deez | $10.00 | 7 100% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,100) | Kris Dabrowski | |
 | CPU Invaders - Aim Hero | $0.99 | 53 100% | 1.6k | $1.6k (exactly $1,574) | Microblast Games | |
 | CPU Invaders - Movie Attack | $0.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $1.2k (exactly $1,247) | Microblast Games | |
 | Mutant Rage | · EA | $19.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Animas Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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