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Should I ship a Spectacle fighter 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Spectacle fighter
Of 67 developers who shipped a Spectacle fighter 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×556 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 112 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $24,941) |
| Top 5% | $833k (exactly $833,166) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 67 |
| Released games | 199 |
| Announced | 112 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Spectacle fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Spectacle fighter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Action RPG
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 61,421 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO | $49.99 | 50,395 86% | 1.5M | $76M (exactly $75,577,382) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. | |
| | Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 | $59.99 | 2,879 83% | 86k | $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) | CyberConnect2 | |
| | Onee Chanbara ORIGIN | older | $59.99 | 1,217 75% | 37k | $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) | Tamsoft |
| | Homura Hime | $24.99 | 2,316 90% | 69k | $1.7M (exactly $1,736,305) | Crimson Dusk | |
| | Fight Angel Special Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,776 75% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) | Red Fox |
| | DAVIGO: VR vs. PC | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,200 84% | 36k | $900k (exactly $899,640) | Davigo Studio |
| | 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau | $9.99 | 2,780 92% | 83k | $833k (exactly $833,166) | Noto Muteki | |
| | Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae | older | $9.99 | 2,747 81% | 82k | $823k (exactly $823,276) | Zenith Blue |
| | Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator | · EA | $24.99 | 612 81% | 18k | $459k (exactly $458,816) | Contec Games |
| | Fight Crab | older | $19.99 | 747 94% | 22k | $448k (exactly $447,976) | Calappa Games |
| | Wretch: Divine Ascent | $14.99 | 975 75% | 29k | $438k (exactly $438,458) | Ogopogo | |
| | Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World | $11.99 | 642 78% | 19k | $231k (exactly $230,927) | LGaoGame | |
| | Spirit X Strike | · EA | $12.99 | 406 82% | 12k | $158k (exactly $158,218) | MAICHA STUDIO |
| | Blood Crawler | $12.99 | 279 76% | 8.4k | $109k (exactly $108,726) | c3アート | |
| | Redemption of Liuyin | $18.99 | 137 83% | 4.1k | $78k (exactly $78,049) | kingnagame |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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