Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Historical
Should I ship a Historical 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Historical
Only 14 developers shipped a Historical 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Half Sword, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $21M, ×14341 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $900 (exactly $900) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) |
| Top 25% | $26k (exactly $26,445) |
| Top 5% | $21M (exactly $21,483,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Hack and Slash
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 30,126 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + Spectacle fighterPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Chivalry 2 | older | $39.99 | 46,707 79% | 1.4M | $56M (exactly $56,034,388) | Torn Banner Studios |
| | Half Sword | · EA | $24.99 | 28,656 71% | 860k | $21M (exactly $21,483,403) | Half Sword Games |
| | Hellish Quart | · EA older | $17.99 | 8,068 88% | 242k | $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) | Kubold |
| | Gladio Mori | $15.99 | 1,147 82% | 34k | $550k (exactly $550,216) | Plebeian Studio | |
| | 武林志2 (Wushu Chronicles 2) | · EA older | $19.99 | 795 41% | 24k | $477k (exactly $476,761) | JiangHu Studio |
| | Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD | older | $7.99 | 1,479 77% | 44k | $355k (exactly $354,516) | Fishlabs Entertainment GmbH |
| | Broken Edge | older | $14.99 | 593 86% | 18k | $267k (exactly $266,672) | TREBUCHET |
| | Dragon Fist: VR Kung Fu | older | $19.99 | 305 95% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Ben Olding Games |
| | Gladius | Gladiator VR Sword fighting | older | $14.99 | 286 74% | 8.6k | $129k (exactly $128,614) | VirtualAge |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew | older | $13.99 | 173 78% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $72,608) | Quacky Games |
| | Fight School Simulator | $9.99 | 227 88% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $68,032) | Queen | |
| | Rise of a Legend | · EA | $17.99 | 49 77% | 1.5k | $26k (exactly $26,445) | Masquarade, Nicholas St. Germain |
| | Bloodmatch | $3.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $2.3k (exactly $2,274) | DOSMan Games | |
| | Tank Simulator | $8.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | Imperian Online - Praha | |
| | Wukong Fight in Kaoria | $8.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) | 圣工作室 | |
| | GAYA - The Mystery | $8.00 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,440) | Dunamis | |
| | Kings of Cratia | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | eniscoskun | |
| | The Krampus Game | · EA | $29.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $900 (exactly $900) | Gaming Limited |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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