Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Roguelite
Should I ship a Roguelite 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Roguelite
Of 21 developers who shipped a Roguelite 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 475% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) |
| Top 5% | $122k (exactly $122,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 475% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Roguelite
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelike
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 55% positive over 3,183 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
UNDERDOGS 2024 · $2.5M 
Samson 2026 · $2.2M 
Kromlech 2026 · EA · $122k 
Skeletal Avenger 2021 · $81k 
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew 2021 · $73k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UNDERDOGS | older | $29.99 | 2,788 97% | 84k | $2.5M (exactly $2,508,364) | One Hamsa |
| | Samson | $24.99 | 2,911 54% | 87k | $2.2M (exactly $2,182,377) | Liquid Swords | |
| | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
| | Skeletal Avenger | older | $16.99 | 158 82% | 4.7k | $81k (exactly $80,533) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew | older | $13.99 | 173 78% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $72,608) | Quacky Games |
 | I See Red | older | $9.99 | 106 90% | 3.2k | $32k (exactly $31,768) | Whiteboard Games |
 | Geometry Survivor | older | $4.99 | 82 69% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,275) | Brain Seal Ltd |
 | Steel Knight's ARMIS | $9.99 | 40 57% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES | |
 | CICADA | $9.99 | 40 92% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | daimaGAME | |
 | Yeah！Fighting Girl | older | $14.99 | 23 65% | 690 | $10k (exactly $10,343) | YellowGames |
 | Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche | $39.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $4.8k (exactly $4,799) | n1lknarf | |
 | Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle | $6.99 | 14 28% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | 430Games | |
 | InTheLake | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | ZhiZhi | |
 | King Static | · EA | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | Spookto |
 | Superation | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Moonsaurus Games | |
 | No Final Run | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | Nordstern |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.