Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Horror

Of 29 developers who shipped a Horror 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is up 270% on the market; 30 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 270% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $594 → $180 → $807 → $2.5k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,802)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 73
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 270% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,095 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GORN older $19.99 7,449 94% 223k $4.5M (exactly $4,467,165) Free Lives
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Skeletal Avenger older $16.99 158 82% 4.7k $81k (exactly $80,533) 10tons Ltd
Fear of Hot Water Ghost $4.99 159 69% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) nStarcube
Omen of Sorrow older $19.99 39 74% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) AOne Games
Vienkiemis · EA $12.99 44 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) dssob, SMEIVIS
DzombZ · EA older $12.99 29 68% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Houari Mohamed Amine
69 Ways to Kill a Zombie older $4.99 70 64% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) Wadup Games
Save Daddy Trump older $4.99 65 81% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Tero Lunkka, BlackThug
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche $39.99 4 75% 120 $4.8k (exactly $4,799) n1lknarf
Slasher $4.99 27 74% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Horrid Vision LLC
Carnal Rage $9.99 11 45% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) TailsUp4Tyranno
Maya : Ek Pishachini $4.99 17 82% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Akshat Softwares
Đồng Cỏ Lau - The Reed Field · EA $7.99 10 30% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Nguyen Quoc Khang
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.