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Should I ship a Martial-Arts 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Martial Arts
Of 59 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×367 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 96 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,346) |
| Top 25% | $9.7k (exactly $9,715) |
| Top 5% | $550k (exactly $550,216) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 59 |
| Released games | 192 |
| Announced | 96 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Fighting
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 55,042 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024 · $76M 
TEKKEN 8 2024 · $55M 
Judgment 2022 · $11M 
Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M 
Hellish Quart 2021 · EA · $4.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO | $49.99 | 50,395 86% | 1.5M | $76M (exactly $75,577,382) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. | |
| | TEKKEN 8 | older | $39.99 | 46,009 56% | 1.4M | $55M (exactly $55,196,997) | Bandai Namco Studios Inc. |
| | Judgment | older | $39.99 | 9,407 93% | 282k | $11M (exactly $11,285,578) | RGG Studio |
| | Lost Judgment | older | $39.99 | 7,461 93% | 224k | $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) | RGG Studio |
| | Hellish Quart | · EA older | $17.99 | 8,068 88% | 242k | $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) | Kubold |
 | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
 | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
 | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
 | Fight Angel Special Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,776 75% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) | Red Fox |
 | Gym Simulator 24 | older | $12.99 | 2,531 84% | 76k | $986k (exactly $986,331) | Red Axe Games |
 | Gladio Mori | $15.99 | 1,147 82% | 34k | $550k (exactly $550,216) | Plebeian Studio | |
 | Echoes of Yi : Samsara | $19.99 | 444 67% | 13k | $266k (exactly $266,267) | Runmeng | |
 | Spirit X Strike | · EA | $12.99 | 406 82% | 12k | $158k (exactly $158,218) | MAICHA STUDIO |
 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutants Unleashed | $39.99 | 114 50% | 3.4k | $137k (exactly $136,766) | AHEARTFULOFGAMES | |
 | LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT | $29.99 | 121 85% | 3.6k | $109k (exactly $108,864) | Odders Lab | |
 | Fight School Simulator | $9.99 | 227 88% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $68,032) | Queen | |
 | Elements Divided | $14.99 | 137 86% | 4.1k | $62k (exactly $61,609) | Loco Motion Devs | |
 | Twelves:Shadow | $12.99 | 154 35% | 4.6k | $60k (exactly $60,014) | JuLu Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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