Do I ship it?

Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + 3D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Fighter Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + 3D Fighter

Of 25 developers who shipped a 3D Fighter Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×306 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 36 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 36 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + 3D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $659 → $72k → $22k → $334 → $27k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + 3D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,607)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 53
Announced 36
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, 3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 20,429 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Undisputed 2024 · $29M Wrestling Empire 2021 · $1.8M Gym Simulator 24 2024 · $986k Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator 2026 · EA · $459k LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT 2025 · $109k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Gym Simulator 24 older $12.99 2,531 84% 76k $986k (exactly $986,331) Red Axe Games
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT $29.99 121 85% 3.6k $109k (exactly $108,864) Odders Lab
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Let's take a bath with Purin 2 older $17.99 133 83% 4.0k $72k (exactly $71,780) Parabolica Games
Fight School Simulator $9.99 227 88% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,032) Queen
PATLABOR the Case Files $34.99 47 65% 1.4k $49k (exactly $49,336) Chime
FLASHOUT 3 older $19.99 55 61% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Jujubee S.A.
Tales Of Glory 4 : Ragnarok · EA $29.99 31 83% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) BlackTale Games
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
Kinky Fight Club 2 $20.00 36 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,600) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Boxing Simulator · EA $5.99 15 80% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Rahu Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.