Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Tabletop game?

Tabletop + World War II

Only 9 developers shipped a WWII Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Frontline: Assault Corps WW2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $14k, ×24 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $59k → $2.4k → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $14,840)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 45
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 80% positive over 117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Total Tank Generals older $24.99 284 72% 8.5k $213k (exactly $212,915) Noobz From Poland
Achtung! Cthulhu Tactics older $24.99 153 68% 4.6k $115k (exactly $114,704) Auroch Digital
Valor & Victory older $19.99 163 69% 4.9k $98k (exactly $97,751) Yobowargames
Lock 'n Load Tactical Digital: Core Game · EA older $4.99 566 82% 17k $85k (exactly $84,730) Lock 'n Load Publishing
Diorama Builder older $4.99 391 94% 12k $59k (exactly $58,533) Virtual Arts Studio
Frontline: Panzer Blitzkrieg! older $9.99 102 86% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Frontline: Games Series
Frontline: Assault Corps WW2 $14.99 33 75% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Frontline: Games Series
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Panzer Commander $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Fancing Game Studio
Battleships and Carriers 2: 1940-1945 $15.99 5 60% 150 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) SLS
Frontline: Afrika Korps $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Frontline: Games Series
Broken Front $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) KOArtist Games
Archie's War $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Bull Elephant Games
MyHiStory $7.00 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/1… (BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/17858438)
World War 3: Card Battler · EA $0.99 4 50% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Angel Star Studios
WEGO World War II: Desert War $39.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BK Wargames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.