Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Military

Of 30 developers who shipped a Military Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 20 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $1.4k → $2.2k → $2.2k → $1.4k → $1.3k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,434)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $97,151)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 85
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tabletop; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Tactical
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 907 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $97k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  5. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  6. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  7. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  8. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  9. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  10. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  11. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair28 devs · median $746 · 30 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Radio Commander: Vietnam '64 older $19.99 1,764 72% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,057,871) Serious Sim
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Field of Glory II: Medieval older $29.99 424 86% 13k $381k (exactly $381,473) Byzantine Games
Total Tank Generals older $24.99 284 72% 8.5k $213k (exactly $212,915) Noobz From Poland
Strategos · EA $24.99 233 85% 7.0k $175k (exactly $174,680) Strategos Games
Mr. President $19.99 162 75% 4.9k $97k (exactly $97,151) Exia Labs
Shields of Loyalty $19.99 140 77% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Mosaic Mask Studio
Space Imperia 4X $22.99 70 92% 2.1k $48k (exactly $48,279) Breich Games
Headquarters: Cold War $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) Starni Games
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Combat Directive : Napoleonic Wars $19.99 36 88% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Fatice Games
劍紙三國 $12.99 55 98% 1.7k $21k (exactly $21,434) JGame CO., LTD.
Frontline: Assault Corps WW2 $14.99 33 75% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Frontline: Games Series
War Room: Tactical Sandbox · EA $9.99 48 62% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) Lado B Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.