Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Steampunk

Only 9 developers shipped a Steampunk Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Duskpunk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 5 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $28k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,872)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,549)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 26
Announced 5
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 10,924 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gremlins, Inc. older $19.99 6,562 85% 197k $3.9M (exactly $3,935,231) Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive En… (Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive Entertainment)
Scythe: Digital Edition older $19.99 3,164 89% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,897,451) The Knights of Unity
Sovereign Syndicate older $19.99 573 79% 17k $344k (exactly $343,628) Crimson Herring Studios
Duskpunk $19.99 171 91% 5.1k $103k (exactly $102,549) Clockwork Bird, James Patton
Dawnmaker older $14.99 156 91% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Arpentor Studio
Barrage $14.99 78 80% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Cranio Lab
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Golden Record Retriever older $15.99 41 56% 1.2k $20k (exactly $19,668) Hoochoo Game Studios
SEARCH ALL - STEAMPUNK older $2.99 55 92% 1.7k $4.9k (exactly $4,934) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
DEAD MAN'S HAND: Card Roulette Action older $4.99 31 100% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Black Garden Studios
Specter: The Battle of the Mind $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AlguemBonitinho
Misty's Super Golf Solitaire $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Misty V Productions
Geargrid Tile Match $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Boogygames Studios
Runes & Rivets $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dano Sato
UpDown&Shot $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KLSG
Jigsaw Diorama: The Alchemist and the Eclipse $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Base Metal Games Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.