Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Female Protagonist

Of 36 developers who shipped a Female-Led Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×5.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $50k, ×106 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 38 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 38 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $446 → $31k → $3.3k → $505 → $1.5k → $2.4k (still earning) → $386 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $386 (exactly $386)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,514)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,510)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,322)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 144
Announced 38
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,937 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest older $14.99 805 83% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) Different Tales
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Wintermoor Tactics Club older $14.99 538 87% 16k $242k (exactly $241,939) EVC Games
One Deck Dungeon older $9.99 783 81% 23k $235k (exactly $234,665) Handelabra Games Inc.
WitchHand older $11.99 616 90% 18k $222k (exactly $221,575) Jon Nielsen
Regency Solitaire older $11.99 559 96% 17k $201k (exactly $201,072) Grey Alien Games
Fatermyth older $9.99 486 81% 15k $146k (exactly $145,654) KDream
Cardpocalypse older $24.99 192 88% 5.8k $144k (exactly $143,942) Gambrinous
Dawnsbury Days older $4.99 922 98% 28k $138k (exactly $138,023) Dawnsbury Studios
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Succubus Roulette $2.99 561 90% 17k $50k (exactly $50,322) PurpleCrit
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Shadowhand Solitaire $13.99 64 90% 1.9k $27k (exactly $26,861) Grey Alien Games
Songs of Life $8.99 80 81% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,576) DreamStep
ENCOUNTER BAR $0.99 590 78% 18k $18k (exactly $17,523) 2R
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
dirtbag MAHJONG $9.99 51 96% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) paranoodle
BeatRider $11.99 32 53% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 无限电玩, Combo X Camp
Scotland Yard – Hunting Mister X $14.99 21 23% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) BitBarons GmbH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.