Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Mythology

Only 14 developers shipped a Mythological Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tabletop Tavern, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1957 the market median. Revenue is up 295% on the market; 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 295% on the market, 38 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $179 → $10k → $6.6k (still earning) → $5.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $3.0k (exactly $2,970)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,625)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,423)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,228,785)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 56
Announced 38
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 295% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$9.90 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,736 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Tavern $19.99 2,049 89% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,785) TJ
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
King of Dragon Pass older $11.99 407 79% 12k $146k (exactly $146,398) A Sharp
Stack to Ascension $12.99 331 54% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,991) Stack to Ascension
Shields of Loyalty $19.99 140 77% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Mosaic Mask Studio
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Yag older $16.99 31 83% 930 $16k (exactly $15,801) Bonjourcoco
ChessCraft older $5.99 81 96% 2.4k $15k (exactly $14,556) Stuart Spence
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
Areteion $19.99 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) juxtapositioned
Oracle 5000 $10.99 30 63% 900 $9.9k (exactly $9,891) Tripple Y, 疯狂地蛋工作室
Star and Serpent Solitaire $12.99 17 100% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Star and Serpent
西西弗斯放置(Sisyphus Idle) $2.99 59 100% 1.8k $5.3k (exactly $5,292) Lazymangamestudio
Cards of Divinity $3.99 25 76% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) Lorrie Vimes
Pazleum · EA $9.90 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,970) Pazl Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.