Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Demons

Only 18 developers shipped a Demon Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Talisman: Digital 5th Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×430 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $713 → $838 → $119 (still earning) → $746 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $746 (exactly $746)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $204,232)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 47
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Investigation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 530 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Age of Fear 2: The Chaos Lord GOLD older $24.99 273 80% 8.2k $205k (exactly $204,668) Leslaw Sliwko
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- Sweep the Board! older $59.99 113 85% 3.4k $203k (exactly $203,366) CyberConnect2
Eyes of Hellfire · EA $9.99 153 70% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Gambrinous
希望之城 The City Of Hope older $6.99 126 68% 3.8k $26k (exactly $26,422) 家里蹲工作室
Lustful BlackJack: My Succubus Dealer $6.99 49 61% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,275) 78Games, Matariki Studios Co., Ltd
Dungeon Tells $7.99 32 75% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Ace Benoff
Azazel Gamble 阿撒兹勒赌局 $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) 7 Funny
Yokai's Wish older $2.99 64 82% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,741) Milk Poison
Rite or Ruin $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Potato Puppy
Monster Girls Pieces $1.99 18 72% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) Rodrigo Piedras
Nightmare Mines $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) DreamSmith
Memo R.I.P. $8.29 3 33% 90 $746 (exactly $746) Divine Magic Games
Liar's Dice $2.99 6 50% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Micester

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.