Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Horror

Of 50 developers who shipped a Horror Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 51 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 51 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $120 → $3.6k → $479 → $13k → $359 → $2.5k (still earning) → $746 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $776 (exactly $776)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,529)
Top 5% $258k (exactly $258,432)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 121
Announced 51
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 53,981 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $780, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair28 devs · median $746 · 30 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Inkshade $19.99 620 87% 19k $372k (exactly $371,814) Studio Vezelle
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Clue/Cluedo older $14.99 489 89% 15k $220k (exactly $219,903) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
Achtung! Cthulhu Tactics older $24.99 153 68% 4.6k $115k (exactly $114,704) Auroch Digital
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
Succubus Roulette $2.99 561 90% 17k $50k (exactly $50,322) PurpleCrit
Eyes of Hellfire · EA $9.99 153 70% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Gambrinous
Bonesaw $6.66 179 89% 5.4k $36k (exactly $35,764) Blood Pact Studios
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
Below the Crown $14.99 64 96% 1.9k $29k (exactly $28,781) Misfits Attic
Burger Bots Inc. $7.99 109 91% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Normogames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.