Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Tabletop game?

Tabletop + LGBTQ+

Only 11 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sultan's Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×5.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 6 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $8.8k → $21k → $716 → $535 → $776 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,938)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,788,232)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 65
Announced 6
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$1.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 25,185 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
MACHI KORO With Everyone older $24.99 119 66% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Grounding Inc.
Chess of Blades older $24.99 102 92% 3.1k $76k (exactly $76,469) Argent Games
Tanto Cuore older $9.99 168 91% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,350) Japanime Digital, Wedontknow Games
Otoko Cross: Pretty Boys Klondike Solitaire older $6.99 135 86% 4.1k $28k (exactly $28,310) Eastasiasoft Limited
Otoko Cross: Pretty Boys Mahjong Solitaire older $6.99 132 86% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,680) Eastasiasoft Limited
One Deck Galaxy older $12.99 55 70% 1.7k $21k (exactly $21,434) Handelabra Games Inc.
Milf City older $1.99 320 85% 9.6k $19k (exactly $19,104) Milk Poison
dirtbag MAHJONG $9.99 51 96% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) paranoodle
Soulblaze · EA $13.99 7 100% 210 $2.9k (exactly $2,938) Cosmic Mocca
Grammar Grind $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Skylor Beck
Dominó Gótico $1.99 13 84% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Rafael D'Silva
My favorite dream girls $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Morf Games
Big-Breasted Goth Mommies - Sex Puzzles $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Natasha Delor
Hentai Furry Pony $0.99 18 83% 540 $535 (exactly $535) Cyber Keks
Waifu Lust $1.99 8 75% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Morf Games
Summer Waifu $1.99 7 85% 210 $418 (exactly $418) Morf Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.