Do I ship it?

Games › Tabletop › Tabletop + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Psychological

Of 27 developers who shipped a Psychological Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 37 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 37 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $599 → $35k → $359 → $600 (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $36k (exactly $35,764)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 55
Announced 37
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Card Battler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,290 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Test: Final Revelation 2020 · $316k I'm on Observation Duty 5 2022 · $232k Menherarium: Deadly Dice 2026 · $180k I'm on Observation Duty 4 2021 · $118k The Confession 2020 · $59k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
The Confession older $1.99 990 94% 30k $59k (exactly $59,103) Randumb Studios
Bonesaw $6.66 179 89% 5.4k $36k (exactly $35,764) Blood Pact Studios
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
FINAL SPIN older $4.99 195 91% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) bati, loardjosef
FLATHEAD older $1.99 386 93% 12k $23k (exactly $23,044) Tim Oxton
3DMurderMystery TheAshenYou $18.99 38 73% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,649) ぐだぐだぶとん
Dungeon Tells $7.99 32 75% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Ace Benoff
Roulette Heist $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) DreamArk Lab
Grimslair $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) ThunderRam Studios
Dungeon & Poker $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Vansonstudio
A Game of D.I.C.E. $2.99 23 86% 690 $2.1k (exactly $2,063) Reija
Excrucia $3.99 14 71% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Mansur

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.