Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Romance

Of 23 developers who shipped a Romance Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×3.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $89. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $5.8k → $776 → $449 → $358 → $898 → $119 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,861)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 140
Announced 19
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Board Game, Card Game
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 881 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Regency Solitaire older $11.99 559 96% 17k $201k (exactly $201,072) Grey Alien Games
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
Pieces of my Heart older $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) Kinky Fridays
Regency Solitaire II older $14.99 210 97% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Grey Alien Games
Chess of Blades older $24.99 102 92% 3.1k $76k (exactly $76,469) Argent Games
Happy Guy older $2.99 620 77% 19k $56k (exactly $55,614) HappyGames
Tanto Cuore older $9.99 168 91% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,350) Japanime Digital, Wedontknow Games
Shadowhand Solitaire $13.99 64 90% 1.9k $27k (exactly $26,861) Grey Alien Games
Milf City older $1.99 320 85% 9.6k $19k (exactly $19,104) Milk Poison
Shunga Frame older $5.99 84 77% 2.5k $15k (exactly $15,095) Nimos Games
Lustful BlackJack: My Succubus Dealer $6.99 49 61% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,275) 78Games, Matariki Studios Co., Ltd
Yatzi 2 $14.99 15 80% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Korion Interactive
BIG TOYS $3.99 28 89% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Kawaii
Ludo XXL 2 $14.99 7 85% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Korion Interactive
SEX & DICE $11.99 4 0% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) SUCCUBUS ZONE
Soul Stake $3.99 11 90% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) Tap-Tap Legends
Monster Girls Pieces $1.99 18 72% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) Rodrigo Piedras
Sweet Whiskers: Cozy Kitty Stories $1.99 16 93% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Anime Aqua Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.