Do I ship it?

Games › Tabletop › Tabletop + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Post-apocalyptic

Of 20 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $59. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 15 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $3.5k → $0 → $6.3k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,595)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,682)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 44
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tabletop; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Board Game, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 888 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $600, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Nowhere Prophet 2019 · $541k Ancient Enemy 2020 · $197k Ogre 2017 · $167k Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition 2015 · $84k Dawnmaker 2024 · $70k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
Ancient Enemy older $16.99 386 89% 12k $197k (exactly $196,744) Grey Alien Games
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition older $14.99 187 64% 5.6k $84k (exactly $84,094) Zoo Corporation
Dawnmaker older $14.99 156 91% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Arpentor Studio
Mushroom Nook $4.99 392 98% 12k $59k (exactly $58,682) HyperstasisGaming
ZombieCards $5.99 232 48% 7.0k $42k (exactly $41,690) HotScent
Catan VR older $14.99 86 73% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Experiment 7
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Rise of Humanity · EA older $19.99 27 62% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) Cybernetic Walrus
BUNKER: RED FLAG · EA $4.99 93 79% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,922) Red Flag Team
King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Breakfirst
Reptilian Rising $29.99 7 100% 210 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games)
Deadwalker Chronicles · EA $12.99 9 33% 270 $3.5k (exactly $3,507) Black Phoenix Studio
Girl Terminal $1.99 40 95% 1.2k $2.4k (exactly $2,388) 齿轮游戏
Vox Populi: Australia 2025 $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Velsin
Fur and Void $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) DFS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.