Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Aliens

Only 11 developers shipped an Alien Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Amberspire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $43k, ×92 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 14 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $6.7k → $1.9k → $898 → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,127)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $43,483)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 38
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 304 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gaia Project older $24.99 351 80% 11k $263k (exactly $263,145) DIGIDICED
The Banished Vault older $24.99 189 78% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Lunar Division
Space Food Truck older $9.99 216 71% 6.5k $65k (exactly $64,735) One Man Left Studios
Galaxy Trucker: Extended Edition older $9.99 213 89% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,836) CGE Digital
Amberspire $24.99 58 86% 1.7k $43k (exactly $43,483) Lunar Division
The Captain is Dead older $19.99 66 78% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Thunderbox Entertainment
Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy $12.99 95 57% 2.9k $37k (exactly $37,022) BrettspielWelt GmbH
Burger Bots Inc. $7.99 109 91% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Normogames
FLATHEAD older $1.99 386 93% 12k $23k (exactly $23,044) Tim Oxton
One Deck Galaxy older $12.99 55 70% 1.7k $21k (exactly $21,434) Handelabra Games Inc.
Vox Populi: USA 2024 $7.99 15 80% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Velsin
Vox Populi: Germany 2025 $7.99 8 87% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Velsin
Vox Populi: Australia 2025 $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Velsin
Fragments of Waifu $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) adDICKtive games
Tabletop Baseball $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Dumb Duck Games
Space Memory TDG $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) TDG Gaming Studio
Star Voyagers – Hentai Jigsaw $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Black Hole

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.