Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Psychological Horror

Of 28 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 30 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $36k → $359 → $1.7k (still earning) → $746 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $746 (exactly $746)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,160)
Top 5% $180k (exactly $180,429)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 84
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, Experimental, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 26,520 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $750, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Rento Fortune: Online Dice Board Game (大富翁) older $4.99 3,063 50% 92k $459k (exactly $458,531) LAN - GAMES LTD
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
THE GAME OF LIFE older $6.49 2,215 73% 66k $431k (exactly $431,260) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
Bonesaw $6.66 179 89% 5.4k $36k (exactly $35,764) Blood Pact Studios
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
Below the Crown $14.99 64 96% 1.9k $29k (exactly $28,781) Misfits Attic
Cheat Death $12.99 45 84% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,536) GG Studio
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
Yclept $6.99 36 86% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) Artur Shevale, Valerii Mukshin
H.P Supernatural Event Archives $8.99 20 75% 600 $5.4k (exactly $5,394) Bangke Studio, JoyPi Games
Escape Tales: The Awakening $7.99 17 94% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Bluekey Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.