Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Capitalism

Of 35 developers who shipped a Capitalist Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 165% on the market; 33 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 165% on the market, 33 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.0k → $29k → $13k → $359 → $2.1k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $807 (exactly $807)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,187)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,549)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 61
Announced 33
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 165% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Board Game, Strategy, Economy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 60% positive over 1,447 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $810, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  11. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair28 devs · median $746 · 30 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Timeflow – Life Sim · EA older $14.99 1,379 91% 41k $620k (exactly $620,136) Digital Geckos
NEW MONOPOLY® $29.99 531 36% 16k $478k (exactly $477,741) UBISOFT, Engine Software
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
Duskpunk $19.99 171 91% 5.1k $103k (exactly $102,549) Clockwork Bird, James Patton
Monopoly: Star Wars™ Heroes vs. Villains $29.99 94 39% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Urban Cards older $14.99 156 75% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Hues Games
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
Barrage $14.99 78 80% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Cranio Lab
Infiniclick $7.99 140 72% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) Nacho AB
Table Battle Simulator · EA $12.99 85 74% 2.6k $33k (exactly $33,124) Kiki Games
ColdRidge $9.99 97 73% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Frog Collective
Empire Builder $19.99 42 95% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) Zombie Possum Games Inc
Fortune Avenue · EA $6.99 63 84% 1.9k $13k (exactly $13,211) Binogure Studio 🐺

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.