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Should I ship an Assassin Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Assassins
Only 17 developers shipped an Assassin Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Evil School, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×169 the market median. Revenue is up 4010% on the market; 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,793) |
| Top 5% | $254k (exactly $253,603) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4010% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Assassins
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Survival Horror, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,499 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M 
Assassin's Creed Valhalla 2022 · $74M 
Dishonored 2012 · $20M 
Evil School 2026 · $254k 
NO, THANK YOU!!! 2018 · $216k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Odyssey | older | $59.99 | 172,149 89% | 5.2M | $310M (exactly $309,816,555) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai) |
| | Assassin's Creed Valhalla | older | $59.99 | 41,083 70% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $73,937,075) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Dishonored | older | $9.99 | 67,504 97% | 2.0M | $20M (exactly $20,230,949) | Arkane Studios |
| | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
| | NO, THANK YOU!!! | older | $39.99 | 180 87% | 5.4k | $216k (exactly $215,946) | parade |
 | Phantom PHANTOM OF INFERNO NITRO ARCHIVE | $29.99 | 108 94% | 3.2k | $97k (exactly $97,168) | NITRO PLUS, NITRO ORIGIN | |
 | Grisaia Phantom Trigger Vol.8 | older | $29.99 | 101 92% | 3.0k | $91k (exactly $90,870) | Frontwing |
 | Resolutiion | older | $19.99 | 112 66% | 3.4k | $67k (exactly $67,166) | Monolith of Minds |
 | The Lacerator | $9.99 | 161 99% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $48,252) | Games From The Abyss | |
 | The Spy Who Shrunk Me | older | $9.99 | 107 71% | 3.2k | $32k (exactly $32,068) | Catland |
 | Beyond R: Rule Ripper | $24.99 | 32 90% | 960 | $24k (exactly $23,990) | Tohriv, GJ Staff | |
 | Oxide Room 208 | $29.99 | 22 31% | 660 | $20k (exactly $19,793) | WildSphere | |
 | 烧尾宴 | $8.99 | 52 75% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | 有点正经 | |
 | 超探偵シャーロックちゃん ～掟破りのミスディレクション～ | $9.99 | 38 73% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,389) | おんねんちゃんねる | |
 | ZOMBIE NTR APOCALYPSE | $10.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | RaigenGames | |
 | Circus of the Moon | $5.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | Davter17 | |
 | Assassin's Shadows | $14.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Noxurtica |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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