Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Dinosaurs

Only 6 developers shipped a Dinosaur Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dino Crisis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×8.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×452 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,298)
Top 5% $284k (exactly $283,816)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 11,108 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I Wani Hug that Gator! older $14.99 5,170 98% 155k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,949) Cavemanon
Humans are not that against Lizardwomen older $3.99 2,807 93% 84k $336k (exactly $335,998) Hue Axis Entertainment
Dino Crisis $9.99 947 80% 28k $284k (exactly $283,816) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
Dino Crisis 2 $9.99 709 87% 21k $212k (exactly $212,487) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
Dynopunk older $14.99 456 93% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) Tomato Fantasy Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 3: Come Inside, Sweety older $9.99 325 92% 9.8k $97k (exactly $97,402) Furlough Games
Double Kick Heroes older $19.99 151 82% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Headbang Club
Fossilfuel 2 older $19.99 142 80% 4.3k $85k (exactly $85,157) DangerousBob Studio LLC
JumpJet Rex older $9.99 248 91% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) TreeFortress Games
Fossilfuel older $14.99 153 70% 4.6k $69k (exactly $68,804) DangerousBob Studio LLC
Reptilian Rising $29.99 7 100% 210 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games)
4 Classes, Many Paths $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) J. C. SpringBourne
FURRYVILLE · EA $9.99 6 33% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Furry Moon Games
Carpe Dino: Seize the Date $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Black Squirrels Studio Inc.
Feeding The Velociraptors $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) workHate Inc

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.