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Should I ship a Dinosaur Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Dinosaurs
Only 6 developers shipped a Dinosaur Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dino Crisis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×8.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×452 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,298) |
| Top 5% | $284k (exactly $283,816) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Dinosaurs
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 11,108 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | I Wani Hug that Gator! | older | $14.99 | 5,170 98% | 155k | $2.3M (exactly $2,324,949) | Cavemanon |
| | Humans are not that against Lizardwomen | older | $3.99 | 2,807 93% | 84k | $336k (exactly $335,998) | Hue Axis Entertainment |
| | Dino Crisis | $9.99 | 947 80% | 28k | $284k (exactly $283,816) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com | |
| | Dino Crisis 2 | $9.99 | 709 87% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,487) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com | |
| | Dynopunk | older | $14.99 | 456 93% | 14k | $205k (exactly $205,063) | Tomato Fantasy Games |
| | Sex and the Furry Titty 3: Come Inside, Sweety | older | $9.99 | 325 92% | 9.8k | $97k (exactly $97,402) | Furlough Games |
| | Double Kick Heroes | older | $19.99 | 151 82% | 4.5k | $91k (exactly $90,555) | Headbang Club |
| | Fossilfuel 2 | older | $19.99 | 142 80% | 4.3k | $85k (exactly $85,157) | DangerousBob Studio LLC |
| | JumpJet Rex | older | $9.99 | 248 91% | 7.4k | $74k (exactly $74,326) | TreeFortress Games |
| | Fossilfuel | older | $14.99 | 153 70% | 4.6k | $69k (exactly $68,804) | DangerousBob Studio LLC |
| | Reptilian Rising | $29.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $6.3k (exactly $6,298) | Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games) | |
| | 4 Classes, Many Paths | $9.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | J. C. SpringBourne | |
| | FURRYVILLE | · EA | $9.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Furry Moon Games |
| | Carpe Dino: Seize the Date | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Black Squirrels Studio Inc. | |
| | Feeding The Velociraptors | $12.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $779 (exactly $779) | workHate Inc |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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