Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Vampires

Of 34 developers who shipped a Vampire Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1934 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 74 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 74 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.6k → $34k → $47k → $33k → $3.4k → $5.1k (still earning) → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,097)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $56,752)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 101
Announced 74
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 19,970 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $56k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Blood of Dawnwalker $69.99 15,789 86% 474k $33M (exactly $33,152,163) Rebel Wolves
Disciples: Liberation older $39.99 2,706 73% 81k $3.2M (exactly $3,246,388) Frima Studio
Cabernet $19.99 2,025 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) Party for Introverts
Vampire: The Masquerade – Swansong older $49.99 561 65% 17k $841k (exactly $841,332) Big Bad Wolf
DRACU-RIOT! $34.99 722 98% 22k $758k (exactly $757,883) YUZUSOFT
Vampires' Melody older $3.99 5,559 97% 167k $665k (exactly $665,412) AsicxArt
Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds older $9.99 1,952 92% 59k $585k (exactly $585,014) Idea Factory, Design Factory
Blood Code older $9.99 1,728 73% 52k $518k (exactly $517,882) ZiX Solutions, Weixi Studio
Virgo Versus The Zodiac older $19.99 790 92% 24k $474k (exactly $473,763) Moonana
SaGa Emerald Beyond older $49.99 308 72% 9.2k $462k (exactly $461,908) Square Enix
The Seven Realms: High Lathión $12.99 427 80% 13k $166k (exactly $166,402) SeptCloud Games
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
The World Well: Blood of Caro $11.99 205 85% 6.2k $74k (exactly $73,738) Nimparth
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
MELFIAS -Azure and Crimson Verge- $11.99 183 89% 5.5k $66k (exactly $65,825) dorgel
Fledgling Manor $11.75 161 98% 4.8k $57k (exactly $56,752) In Secret Places
Blood & Lust [18+]🩸 $9.99 161 75% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Carnality INC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.