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Should I ship a Music Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Music
Only 12 developers shipped a Music Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $18k, ×39 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×4264 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $18k (exactly $18,316) |
| Top 25% | $135k (exactly $134,932) |
| Top 5% | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Music
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,129 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pyre | older | $19.99 | 8,396 90% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) | Supergiant Games |
| | Everhood | older | $9.99 | 11,436 95% | 343k | $3.4M (exactly $3,427,369) | Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca |
| | Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical | older | $29.99 | 2,570 92% | 77k | $2.3M (exactly $2,312,229) | Summerfall Studios |
| | Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis | $16.99 | 3,974 91% | 119k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) | Alliance Arts, WHO YOU | |
| | Symphonic Rain | older | $39.99 | 1,114 97% | 33k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,466) | KOGADO STUDIO |
| | Rez Infinite | older | $24.99 | 1,166 91% | 35k | $874k (exactly $874,150) | Monstars Inc., Resonair |
| | KAMITSUBAKI CITY REGENERATE | $34.99 | 494 93% | 15k | $519k (exactly $518,552) | KAMITSUBAKI STUDIO, orange | |
| | OBSCURA | · EA older | $14.99 | 453 99% | 14k | $204k (exactly $203,714) | Rotten Raccoons |
| | A YEAR OF SPRINGS | older | $4.99 | 915 98% | 27k | $137k (exactly $136,976) | npckc |
| | Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action | $19.99 | 225 84% | 6.8k | $135k (exactly $134,932) | Moonana | |
| | K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut | $19.99 | 175 53% | 5.3k | $105k (exactly $104,947) | Wisageni Studio | |
| | Rock the Rim | $8.99 | 129 70% | 3.9k | $35k (exactly $34,791) | RedWhite & Waifuz | |
| | I Write Games Not Tragedies | $12.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $18,316) | Studio Wife | |
| | Concerto on White: Cajon Story | $8.99 | 59 94% | 1.8k | $16k (exactly $15,912) | C11 Games | |
| | The Dreamwalkers | $8.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | Nightbloomer Studio | |
| | Beats of Lust | $3.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Zylyx Team | |
| | Vengeance is His | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | SSamBBas |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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