Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Music

Only 12 developers shipped a Music Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×39 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×4264 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 38.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $10k → $18k
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $18k (exactly $18,316)
Top 25% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 53
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pyre older $19.99 8,396 90% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) Supergiant Games
Everhood older $9.99 11,436 95% 343k $3.4M (exactly $3,427,369) Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca
Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical older $29.99 2,570 92% 77k $2.3M (exactly $2,312,229) Summerfall Studios
Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis $16.99 3,974 91% 119k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) Alliance Arts, WHO YOU
Symphonic Rain older $39.99 1,114 97% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,336,466) KOGADO STUDIO
Rez Infinite older $24.99 1,166 91% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) Monstars Inc., Resonair
KAMITSUBAKI CITY REGENERATE $34.99 494 93% 15k $519k (exactly $518,552) KAMITSUBAKI STUDIO, orange
OBSCURA · EA older $14.99 453 99% 14k $204k (exactly $203,714) Rotten Raccoons
A YEAR OF SPRINGS older $4.99 915 98% 27k $137k (exactly $136,976) npckc
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut $19.99 175 53% 5.3k $105k (exactly $104,947) Wisageni Studio
Rock the Rim $8.99 129 70% 3.9k $35k (exactly $34,791) RedWhite & Waifuz
I Write Games Not Tragedies $12.99 47 100% 1.4k $18k (exactly $18,316) Studio Wife
Concerto on White: Cajon Story $8.99 59 94% 1.8k $16k (exactly $15,912) C11 Games
The Dreamwalkers $8.99 21 85% 630 $5.7k (exactly $5,664) Nightbloomer Studio
Beats of Lust $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Zylyx Team
Vengeance is His $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) SSamBBas

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.