Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Mechs

Only 13 developers shipped a Mech Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Guns of Fury, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×4.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×680 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $19k → $379k → $54k
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,634)
Top 25% $64k (exactly $64,136)
Top 5% $427k (exactly $427,215)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 36
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,254 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $64k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baldr Sky older $49.99 1,524 93% 46k $2.3M (exactly $2,285,543) Sekai Project
METALLIC CHILD older $24.99 1,131 84% 34k $848k (exactly $847,911) Action Square(STUDIO HG)
ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE older $34.99 698 90% 21k $733k (exactly $732,691) MAGES. Inc.
Guns of Fury $14.99 950 88% 29k $427k (exactly $427,215) Gelato Games Ltd
Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog $14.99 843 90% 25k $379k (exactly $379,097) Space Colony Studios
ALTDEUS: Beyond Chronos older $29.99 379 95% 11k $341k (exactly $340,986) MyDearest Inc.
Chaos Galaxy 2 older $19.99 304 82% 9.1k $182k (exactly $182,309) Han Zhiyu
RaiOhGar: Asuka and the King of Steel older $14.99 328 82% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) GapTax
Ad Fundum older $6.99 429 93% 13k $90k (exactly $89,961) Oldbut Gold
Angel's Gear older $9.99 254 73% 7.6k $76k (exactly $76,124) Scumhead
R-Type Delta: HD Boosted $24.99 86 81% 2.6k $64k (exactly $64,474) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
Mech Academy $9.99 214 91% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) Space Samurai Studio
NIGHT STRIKER GEAR $18.99 94 88% 2.8k $54k (exactly $53,552) M2 Co., Ltd., M2 Co.,LTD
Xenowars $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Strategeion Studios
Digital Anima: Virtual Lifeform Care Kit $4.39 20 75% 600 $2.6k (exactly $2,634) dankhearts, 双異典
MegaBattle $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MadCat Corp, Cavylabs
STEEL SERAPHIM: PROVING GROUNDS $6.99 6 100% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) TYPE THREE INDUSTRIES
Catalyst: From The Stars $5.99 6 83% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) SydesDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.