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Should I ship a Steampunk Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Steampunk
Of 30 developers who shipped a Steampunk Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 59 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,685) |
| Top 5% | $112k (exactly $111,544) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 59 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Steampunk
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,493 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
Lies of P 2023 · $105M 
Dishonored 2012 · $20M 
Primordia 2012 · $892k 
Detective Girl of the Steam City 2019 · $852k 
New Arc Line 2024 · EA · $515k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lies of P | older | $59.99 | 58,411 91% | 1.8M | $105M (exactly $105,122,277) | NEOWIZ |
| | Dishonored | older | $9.99 | 67,504 97% | 2.0M | $20M (exactly $20,230,949) | Arkane Studios |
| | Primordia | older | $9.99 | 2,975 96% | 89k | $892k (exactly $891,608) | Wormwood Studios |
| | Detective Girl of the Steam City | older | $14.99 | 1,894 91% | 57k | $852k (exactly $851,732) | Clymenia |
| | New Arc Line | · EA | $24.99 | 687 68% | 21k | $515k (exactly $515,044) | Dreamate |
 | 80 Days | older | $12.99 | 1,174 91% | 35k | $458k (exactly $457,508) | inkle Ltd, Cape Guy Ltd |
 | Steam Prison | older | $34.99 | 388 81% | 12k | $407k (exactly $407,284) | HuneX |
 | Teslagrad 2 | older | $19.99 | 419 76% | 13k | $251k (exactly $251,274) | Rain Games |
 | Hazel Sky | older | $24.99 | 242 68% | 7.3k | $181k (exactly $181,427) | Coffee Addict Studio |
 | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
 | Duskpunk | $19.99 | 171 91% | 5.1k | $103k (exactly $102,549) | Clockwork Bird, James Patton | |
 | Snow Ash | $14.99 | 179 73% | 5.4k | $80k (exactly $80,496) | Ember Studio | |
 | Lust Manor: Leona’s Secret | $9.99 | 89 78% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,673) | Kinky Business Group | |
 | Steam Prison -Beyond the Steam- | $34.99 | 22 50% | 660 | $23k (exactly $23,093) | HuneX | |
 | Machine Tower 2984 | $9.99 | 69 86% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $20,679) | 打螺丝游戏工作室 | |
 | Void Sails | $9.99 | 49 69% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,685) | Ticking Clock Games | |
 | Vex Clock | $14.99 | 24 95% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | Dave Microwaves Games | |
 | Hermes Library | $15.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $8.2k (exactly $8,155) | SoaringHeart |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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