Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Artificial Intelligence

Of 127 developers who shipped an AI Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 199 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×951 the market median. Revenue is up 390% on the market; 199 games are announced against 91 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 390% on the market, 199 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 127
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30k → $4.0k → $3.0k → $1.6k → $1.3k → $7.6k → $2.9k (still earning) → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 127
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,699)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,222)
Top 5% $452k (exactly $451,948)
Developers, 2 yr 127
Released games 299
Announced 199
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 390% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 39,741 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 199 games are announced against 91 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach older $39.99 65,350 86% 2.0M $78M (exactly $78,400,395) Steel Wool Studios
The Talos Principle older $29.99 29,237 95% 877k $26M (exactly $26,304,529) Croteam
Five Nights at Freddy's: Secret of the Mimic $39.99 10,874 86% 326k $13M (exactly $13,045,538) Steel Wool Studios
STEINS;GATE 0 older $34.99 7,916 95% 237k $8.3M (exactly $8,309,425) MAGES. Inc.
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
Road to Empress Ⅱ $18.00 7,773 80% 233k $4.2M (exactly $4,197,420) New One Studio
SpaceBourne 2 $19.99 4,951 75% 149k $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) Burak Dabak
KinitoPET older $5.99 13,438 92% 403k $2.4M (exactly $2,414,809) troy_en
S4U: CITYPUNK 2011 AND LOVE PUNCH $13.99 2,324 90% 70k $975k (exactly $975,383) U0U Games
Event[0] older $19.99 1,449 79% 43k $869k (exactly $868,965) Ocelot Society
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
恋爱吗?我家猫会后空翻 $9.99 1,508 96% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) 光循花火工作室
SILENT BREATH $9.99 1,124 67% 34k $337k (exactly $336,863) EXODIAC STUDIOS
Undercover $14.99 667 77% 20k $300k (exactly $299,950) intiny
Titanic Escape Simulator™ $19.99 374 52% 11k $224k (exactly $224,288) magicprostudio, Vintage Digital Revival

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.