Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Modern

Of 163 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 227 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×328 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 227 games are announced against 108 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 227 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 163
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $5.8k → $3.4k → $2.7k → $9.3k → $2.7k → $2.3k (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 163
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,506)
Top 5% $156k (exactly $155,844)
Developers, 2 yr 163
Released games 440
Announced 227
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Choices Matter, Dating Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 57,140 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 93 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 227 games are announced against 108 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Revenge on gold diggers $6.99 46,610 80% 1.4M $9.8M (exactly $9,774,117) 前方工作室
Alpha Protocol™ older $19.99 3,420 83% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,050,974) Obsidian Entertainment
The Bridge Curse Road to Salvation older $19.99 2,989 89% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,792,503) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Acting Lessons older $9.99 5,050 95% 152k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,485) Dr PinkCake
Pipistrello and the Cursed Yoyo $19.99 1,993 97% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,195,202) Pocket Trap
LIVE A LIVE older $49.99 785 85% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,177,264) Square Enix, historia Inc.
Love and Sex: Second Base older $19.99 1,340 91% 40k $804k (exactly $803,598) Andrealphus Games
The Scourge | Tai Ương $19.99 1,192 93% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Rare Reversee, Beaztek
Sex, Secrets & Used Tech $16.99 1,291 85% 39k $658k (exactly $658,023) WorkNite Games, 78Games
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
极速营救 $9.99 1,860 86% 56k $557k (exactly $557,442) 优映文化, 想象颗粒
我打不过漂亮的她们 $10.99 1,111 95% 33k $366k (exactly $366,297) 想象颗粒
Blood Money: Lethal Eden $8.99 1,262 91% 38k $340k (exactly $340,361) 碧火互娱
Under The Island $19.99 446 92% 13k $267k (exactly $267,466) Slime King Games
Exposed Livestream $9.99 520 81% 16k $156k (exactly $155,844) Kumada Gaon
Enjoy Amoy&Sisters $4.99 855 96% 26k $128k (exactly $127,994) Choice Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.