Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Gothic

Of 45 developers who shipped a Gothic Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 126 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×8.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×753 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 126 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 126 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $31k → $12k → $1.8k → $21k → $2.7k → $7.1k → $3.9k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $4.1k (exactly $4,070)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $57,324)
Top 5% $358k (exactly $357,750)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 137
Announced 126
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 36,343 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.1k, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 126 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lies of P older $59.99 58,411 91% 1.8M $105M (exactly $105,122,277) NEOWIZ
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
The House in Fata Morgana older $24.99 6,057 94% 182k $4.5M (exactly $4,540,933) NOVECT
Staffer Case: A Supernatural Mystery Adventure older $16.99 4,074 93% 122k $2.1M (exactly $2,076,518) Team Tetrapod
Mad Father older $9.99 6,229 97% 187k $1.9M (exactly $1,866,831) sen
Unavowed older $14.99 2,309 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,038,357) Wadjet Eye Games
Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS older $9.99 3,152 95% 95k $945k (exactly $944,654) Angels Blue Digital Entertainment, Digi… (Angels Blue Digital Entertainment, DigitalEZ)
My Lovely Daughter older $14.99 1,165 70% 35k $524k (exactly $523,900) GameChanger Studio
SINNER: Sacrifice for Redemption older $18.99 840 65% 25k $479k (exactly $478,548) DARK STAR
Sin Spire $9.99 1,580 88% 47k $474k (exactly $473,526) Krasue Games
Money for Girls: Amortized $15.00 795 98% 24k $358k (exactly $357,750) Porpentine
Necrophosis $15.99 722 89% 22k $346k (exactly $346,343) Dragonis Ares, Adonis Brosteanu
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
Clock Tower: Rewind $19.99 460 88% 14k $276k (exactly $275,862) WayForward, Limited Run Games
Death of the Reprobate $12.99 659 96% 20k $257k (exactly $256,812) Joe Richardson
Tormentum II $19.99 200 92% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) OhNoo Studio
Duskpunk $19.99 171 91% 5.1k $103k (exactly $102,549) Clockwork Bird, James Patton
Malleus Cocconum: The Heiress · EA $21.99 141 94% 4.2k $93k (exactly $93,018) Domus Aurea

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.