Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror

Of 943 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,581 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×751 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 1,581 games are announced against 572 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 1,581 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 943
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.1k → $5.1k → $5.3k → $3.9k → $4.3k → $2.2k → $1.6k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 943
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,142)
Top 5% $357k (exactly $356,822)
Developers, 2 yr 943
Released games 2,211
Announced 1,581
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 233,099 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 471 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,581 games are announced against 572 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undertale older $9.99 307,601 96% 9.2M $92M (exactly $92,188,020) tobyfox
SILENT HILL 2 $69.99 43,367 94% 1.3M $91M (exactly $91,057,690) Bloober Team SA
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard $59.99 41,393 67% 1.2M $74M (exactly $74,494,982) BioWare
OMORI older $19.99 79,836 97% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,877,649) OMOCAT, LLC
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
The Quarry older $59.99 16,127 83% 484k $29M (exactly $29,023,762) Supermassive Games
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD older $15.99 54,053 94% 1.6M $26M (exactly $25,929,224) WSS playground, xemono
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe older $24.99 34,268 94% 1.0M $26M (exactly $25,690,720) Crows Crows Crows
STEINS;GATE older $29.99 25,289 97% 759k $23M (exactly $22,752,513) MAGES. Inc.
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- $59.99 6,893 88% 207k $12M (exactly $12,405,332) Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc.
No, I'm not a Human $14.99 27,222 93% 817k $12M (exactly $12,241,733) Trioskaz
CloverPit $9.99 24,710 90% 741k $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) Panik Arcade
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days · EA $24.99 9,049 89% 271k $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) PikPok
Endacopia $16.50 6,474 99% 194k $3.2M (exactly $3,204,630) Andyland

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.