Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Transhumanism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transhumanist Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Transhumanism

Of 27 developers who shipped a Transhumanist Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $32k, ×68 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 59 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 59 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Transhumanism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $3.4k → $21k → $599 → $5.2k → $2.9k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Transhumanism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,068)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 61
Announced 59
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Transhumanism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Simulation, Visual Novel
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.95 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.95 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 1,197 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
Paradise Lost older $14.99 1,469 67% 44k $661k (exactly $660,609) PolyAmorous
Lightracer Spark older $12.99 970 83% 29k $378k (exactly $378,009) Smartmelon Games
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Cockwork Industries Complete older $9.99 864 76% 26k $259k (exactly $258,941) Digital Seductions
Ceiba older $6.99 255 94% 7.7k $53k (exactly $53,474) Wirion, 7DOTS
Vampire: The Masquerade — Sins of the Sires older $11.99 143 39% 4.3k $51k (exactly $51,437) Choice of Games
KUUKIYOMI: Consider It World - Thailand Ver. $9.99 107 98% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Urnique Studio
春はあけぼの、我はバケモノ。 - Spring at Dawn, I Am a Monster. $9.99 75 64% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) CHARON, STUDIO CHARON
A Wake Inn older $19.99 36 58% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) VR Bros
Veins Like Tapeworms $19.99 20 95% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) AwesomeTrinket
The Queen of Phalli $9.99 39 87% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Labor of Love
Holonoptic $19.95 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,576) Glazial
Project Looking Glass $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) MORPH
Journey of Resurgence · EA $17.99 11 81% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Stellar Realms Network
Forehead Chip $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Naturally Intelligent
Runway 66 $6.99 25 88% 750 $5.2k (exactly $5,242) NEBULA NOVA GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.