Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Magic
Should I ship a Magic Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Magic
Of 205 developers who shipped a Magic Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 430 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×5.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×403 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 430 games are announced against 128 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.6k (exactly $2,633) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,978) |
| Top 5% | $192k (exactly $191,636) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 205 |
| Released games | 627 |
| Announced | 430 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.66 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.66 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 57,520 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 100 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 430 games are announced against 128 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 823,357 96% | 25M | $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | Dragon Age™: The Veilguard | $59.99 | 41,393 67% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $74,494,982) | BioWare | |
| | The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition | older | $19.99 | 80,882 89% | 2.4M | $49M (exactly $48,504,935) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut | older | $9.99 | 81,712 89% | 2.5M | $24M (exactly $24,489,086) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | Dishonored | older | $9.99 | 67,504 97% | 2.0M | $20M (exactly $20,230,949) | Arkane Studios |
| | Word Game | older | $34.99 | 5,930 93% | 178k | $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) | Team9 |
| | Fate/Samurai Remnant | older | $39.99 | 5,018 90% | 151k | $6.0M (exactly $6,020,095) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Fate/stay night REMASTERED | older | $29.99 | 4,277 95% | 128k | $3.8M (exactly $3,848,017) | TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc. |
| | Magical Princess | $14.99 | 7,636 96% | 229k | $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) | Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc. | |
| | Dark Messiah of Might & Magic | older | $9.99 | 9,331 89% | 280k | $2.8M (exactly $2,796,501) | Arkane Studios |
| | Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed | $39.99 | 1,275 93% | 38k | $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) | Purple Lamp | |
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED | $29.99 | 949 96% | 28k | $854k (exactly $853,815) | TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc. | |
| | Witch's Apocalyptic Journey | $8.99 | 1,282 84% | 38k | $346k (exactly $345,755) | MeowAlive | |
| | Between Two Worlds | $14.99 | 760 82% | 23k | $342k (exactly $341,772) | Drooskati Games | |
| | Mesmalie | $8.99 | 1,123 99% | 34k | $303k (exactly $302,873) | Rain (orbitaldot) | |
| | Souper Game | $14.99 | 550 78% | 17k | $247k (exactly $247,335) | SinBeans Studio | |
| | 神树残响(Echoes of the Divine Tree) | $11.99 | 601 94% | 18k | $216k (exactly $216,180) | Seventeen horns |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.