Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Magic

Of 205 developers who shipped a Magic Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 430 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×5.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×403 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 430 games are announced against 128 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 430 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 205
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $2.1k → $4.8k → $6.2k → $2.4k → $1.2k → $1.3k (still earning) → $6.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 205
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,633)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,978)
Top 5% $192k (exactly $191,636)
Developers, 2 yr 205
Released games 627
Announced 430
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Choices Matter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.66 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.66 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 57,520 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 100 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 430 games are announced against 128 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard $59.99 41,393 67% 1.2M $74M (exactly $74,494,982) BioWare
The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition older $19.99 80,882 89% 2.4M $49M (exactly $48,504,935) CD PROJEKT RED
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut older $9.99 81,712 89% 2.5M $24M (exactly $24,489,086) CD PROJEKT RED
Dishonored older $9.99 67,504 97% 2.0M $20M (exactly $20,230,949) Arkane Studios
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
Fate/Samurai Remnant older $39.99 5,018 90% 151k $6.0M (exactly $6,020,095) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Fate/stay night REMASTERED older $29.99 4,277 95% 128k $3.8M (exactly $3,848,017) TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc.
Magical Princess $14.99 7,636 96% 229k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc.
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic older $9.99 9,331 89% 280k $2.8M (exactly $2,796,501) Arkane Studios
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
DevilConnection $16.66 1,951 98% 59k $975k (exactly $975,110) ChaoGames
Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED $29.99 949 96% 28k $854k (exactly $853,815) TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc.
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Between Two Worlds $14.99 760 82% 23k $342k (exactly $341,772) Drooskati Games
Mesmalie $8.99 1,123 99% 34k $303k (exactly $302,873) Rain (orbitaldot)
Souper Game $14.99 550 78% 17k $247k (exactly $247,335) SinBeans Studio
神树残响(Echoes of the Divine Tree) $11.99 601 94% 18k $216k (exactly $216,180) Seventeen horns

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.