Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Wuxia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wuxia Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Wuxia

Only 11 developers shipped a Wuxia Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beast Saga, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $230k, ×366 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $27k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 366.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 18 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Wuxia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Wuxia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $26k (exactly $26,347)
Median $230k (exactly $230,054)
Top 25% $768k (exactly $768,131)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 26
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 900% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Wuxia
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 12,079 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $27k, median $230k, 1 in 4 over $760k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $27k. 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  3. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  4. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  5. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  6. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  8. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  11. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  12. + Automobile SimLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Legend of Mortal 2024 · $20M Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion 2023 · $12M Fate Seeker 2018 · $7.5M 下一站江湖Ⅱ 2024 · $6.4M 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Legend of Mortal older $19.99 33,730 77% 1.0M $20M (exactly $20,227,881) Obb Studio Inc.
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion older $17.99 22,287 84% 669k $12M (exactly $12,028,294) 半瓶醋工作室（Half Amateur Studio）
Fate Seeker older $21.09 11,930 90% 358k $7.5M (exactly $7,548,111) JSL Entertainment
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
侠客风云传(Tale of Wuxia) older $16.99 6,501 76% 195k $3.3M (exactly $3,313,560) Heluo Studio
Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun older $19.99 3,829 66% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,296,251) ZUIJIANGYUE Game
Beast Saga $20.99 2,714 80% 81k $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) 嘉兴黑曜石(Jiaxing Obsidian)
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
Jade Empire™: Special Edition older $14.99 1,887 76% 57k $849k (exactly $848,584) BioWare
再见断刀 $9.99 2,563 92% 77k $768k (exactly $768,131) 非侠游戏
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
WindStop Strategy $9.99 1,494 78% 45k $448k (exactly $447,752) Xia Start
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
Tales of Justice Academy: Winds Arise $10.99 460 71% 14k $152k (exactly $151,662) 九芽川 Ninth Leaf
山河小侠 $4.99 176 82% 5.3k $26k (exactly $26,347) 小弟阿金
Eternal Sword Tomb · EA $8.99 68 77% 2.0k $18k (exactly $18,340) 阿郎
Hidden Girls $0.99 265 95% 8.0k $7.9k (exactly $7,870) DigitalDream

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.