Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Psychological

Of 415 developers who shipped a Psychological Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 757 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×422 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 757 games are announced against 253 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 757 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 415
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $1.9k → $3.6k → $2.1k → $4.2k → $2.3k → $959 (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 415
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 5% $200k (exactly $200,264)
Developers, 2 yr 415
Released games 899
Announced 757
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 193,000 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 198 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 757 games are announced against 253 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SILENT HILL 2 2024 · $91M SILENT HILL f 2025 · $40M NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD 2022 · $26M The Stanley Parable 2013 · $18M The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023 · EA · $13M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SILENT HILL 2 $69.99 43,367 94% 1.3M $91M (exactly $91,057,690) Bloober Team SA
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD older $15.99 54,053 94% 1.6M $26M (exactly $25,929,224) WSS playground, xemono
The Stanley Parable older $14.99 40,292 92% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,119,312) Galactic Cafe
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley · EA older $11.99 36,603 96% 1.1M $13M (exactly $13,166,099) Kit9 Studio
No, I'm not a Human $14.99 27,222 93% 817k $12M (exactly $12,241,733) Trioskaz
Revenge on gold diggers $6.99 46,610 80% 1.4M $9.8M (exactly $9,774,117) 前方工作室
Raging Loop older $29.99 10,568 95% 317k $9.5M (exactly $9,508,030) KEMCO
Until Then older $19.99 15,721 96% 472k $9.4M (exactly $9,427,884) Polychroma Games
STEINS;GATE 0 older $34.99 7,916 95% 237k $8.3M (exactly $8,309,425) MAGES. Inc.
CloverPit $9.99 24,710 90% 741k $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) Panik Arcade
Lost Records: Bloom & Rage $39.99 5,873 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) DON'T NOD
Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis $16.99 3,974 91% 119k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) Alliance Arts, WHO YOU
The NOexistenceN of you AND me $1.99 20,139 93% 604k $1.2M (exactly $1,202,298) 0x0Real Studio
A.I.L.A $29.99 889 81% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) Pulsatrix Studios
One-Eyed Likho $19.99 1,155 93% 35k $693k (exactly $692,654) Morteshka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.