Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics

Of 953 developers who shipped a Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,710 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×490 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 1,710 games are announced against 525 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 1,710 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 953
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $898 → $1.3k → $449 → $1.1k → $600 → $539 (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 953
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $307k (exactly $307,440)
Developers, 2 yr 953
Released games 2,897
Announced 1,710
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 234,134 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 571 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,710 games are announced against 525 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Real Time Tactics

39 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Real Time Tactics + Dragons Strong odds $6.6k 17 devs
  2. Real Time Tactics + Hacking Fair $987 11 devs
  3. Real Time Tactics + World War II Poor odds $67k 24 devs
  4. Real Time Tactics + Cold War Poor odds $19k 9 devs
  5. Real Time Tactics + Historical Poor odds $19k 88 devs
  6. Real Time Tactics + Mechs Poor odds $13k 16 devs
  7. Real Time Tactics + Alternate History Poor odds $4.0k 22 devs
  8. Real Time Tactics + Modern Poor odds $3.3k 30 devs
  9. Real Time Tactics + Military Poor odds $3.0k 150 devs
  10. Real Time Tactics + War Poor odds $2.4k 188 devs
  11. Real Time Tactics + Naval Poor odds $2.4k 16 devs
  12. Real Time Tactics + Female Protagonist Poor odds $2.4k 45 devs
  13. Real Time Tactics + Mythology Poor odds $2.3k 20 devs
  14. Real Time Tactics + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $1.8k 40 devs
  15. Real Time Tactics + Medieval Poor odds $1.3k 137 devs
  16. Real Time Tactics + Space Poor odds $959 84 devs
  17. Real Time Tactics + Sci-fi Poor odds $899 134 devs
  18. Real Time Tactics + Artificial Intelligence Poor odds $899 35 devs
  19. Real Time Tactics + Capitalism Poor odds $898 36 devs
  20. Real Time Tactics + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $897 50 devs
  21. Real Time Tactics + Demons Poor odds $839 24 devs
  22. Real Time Tactics + Robots Poor odds $750 29 devs
  23. Real Time Tactics + Cyberpunk Poor odds $750 25 devs
  24. Real Time Tactics + Fantasy Poor odds $599 199 devs
  25. Real Time Tactics + Mystery Poor odds $599 33 devs
  26. Real Time Tactics + Magic Poor odds $598 89 devs
  27. Real Time Tactics + Zombies Poor odds $594 30 devs
  28. Real Time Tactics + Futuristic Poor odds $450 69 devs
  29. Real Time Tactics + Horror Poor odds $449 37 devs
  30. Real Time Tactics + Crime Dead $18k 5 devs
  31. Real Time Tactics + Steampunk Dead $15k 10 devs
  32. Real Time Tactics + Pirates Dead $719 7 devs
  33. Real Time Tactics + Dystopian Dead $450 15 devs
  34. Real Time Tactics + Supernatural Dead $300 16 devs
  35. Real Time Tactics + Nature Dead $299 39 devs
  36. Real Time Tactics + Aliens Dead $269 30 devs
  37. Real Time Tactics + Science Dead $150 7 devs
  38. Real Time Tactics + Detective Dead $120 8 devs
  39. Real Time Tactics + Psychological Horror Dead $30 17 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022 · $189M Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017 · $153M Kenshi 2018 · $89M Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019 · $76M Arma Reforger 2023 · $62M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER III older $59.99 104,822 71% 3.1M $189M (exactly $188,648,153) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: WARHAMMER II older $59.99 85,134 92% 2.6M $153M (exactly $153,215,660) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS older $39.99 63,110 82% 1.9M $76M (exactly $75,713,067) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Arma Reforger older $39.99 51,613 80% 1.5M $62M (exactly $61,920,116) Bohemia Interactive
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition older $29.99 54,547 87% 1.6M $49M (exactly $49,075,936) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Company of Heroes 3 older $59.99 24,516 59% 735k $44M (exactly $44,121,445) Relic Entertainment
Broken Arrow $49.99 25,924 55% 778k $39M (exactly $38,878,223) Steel Balalaika
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun older $39.99 30,845 96% 925k $37M (exactly $37,004,746) Mimimi Games
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Going Medieval $29.99 17,032 88% 511k $15M (exactly $15,323,690) Foxy Voxel
MECCHA CHAMELEON $5.99 78,746 87% 2.4M $14M (exactly $14,150,656) lemorion_1224
Door Kickers 2: Task Force North $24.99 12,324 96% 370k $9.2M (exactly $9,239,303) KillHouse Games
Sea Power : Naval Combat in the Missile Age · EA $49.99 6,109 90% 183k $9.2M (exactly $9,161,667) Triassic Games
Mechabellum $14.99 17,856 84% 536k $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843) Game River
Stronghold Crusader: Definitive Edition $19.99 10,627 92% 319k $6.4M (exactly $6,373,012) Firefly Studios
LOCKDOWN Protocol $9.99 16,605 86% 498k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,518) Mirage Creative Lab
The King is Watching $14.99 9,006 88% 270k $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998) Hypnohead

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.