Do I ship it?

Games › Real Time Tactics › Real Time Tactics + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Dragons

Only 17 developers shipped a Dragon Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Huaxia: Warring States, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.3k. Revenue is up 1015% on the market; 19 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.5 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 10.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1015% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $38k (still earning) → $6.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,649)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $32,903)
Top 5% $420k (exactly $420,390)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 39
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1015% on the market, supply 225% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,490 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 19 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  2. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  3. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  4. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  9. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  10. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds33 devs · median $6.4k · 59 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Huaxia: Warring States 2026 · EA · $420k Bahamut2-dragon's bride 2021 · $175k Circle Empires 2 2026 · $104k No King No Kingdom 2020 · $57k Bean Beasts 2025 · $47k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Huaxia: Warring States · EA $19.99 701 61% 21k $420k (exactly $420,390) 秦川汉渚
Bahamut2-dragon's bride older $9.99 584 97% 18k $175k (exactly $175,025) 王韋
Circle Empires 2 $12.99 266 72% 8.0k $104k (exactly $103,660) Luminous
No King No Kingdom older $14.99 126 84% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Fullmetal Developer
Bean Beasts $13.99 113 89% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Anxious Noob
Swords And Magic: Path Of Conquest · EA $9.99 128 77% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,362) ShadowMoon Wolf Game Tech Ltd
Sunbreak War $8.99 122 81% 3.7k $33k (exactly $32,903) Candlelight Studio
Realms of Madness $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Robin van der Horst
Warena $9.99 42 52% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Part Time Monkey
Fantasy Empires older $9.99 33 84% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Silicon Knights
Rustic Defense $9.99 28 96% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Lasot Interactive
Open The Gate: Just A Little $5.99 37 75% 1.1k $6.6k (exactly $6,649) Abubu Dance
Deck Vs Doom $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Danial Rashidi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.