Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Mechs

Only 16 developers shipped a Mech Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mechabellum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×21 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $8.0M, ×12786 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 32 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $417k → $7.2k → $17k → $14k
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $37,775)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 39
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 18,510 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $37k, 1 in 20 over $8.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  10. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds33 devs · median $6.4k · 59 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Planetary Annihilation: TITANS older $29.99 11,401 84% 342k $10M (exactly $10,257,480) Planetary Annihilation Inc
Mechabellum $14.99 17,856 84% 536k $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843) Game River
Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance older $39.99 3,395 82% 102k $4.1M (exactly $4,072,982) Slitherine Ltd.
Phantom Brigade older $29.99 4,412 81% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) Brace Yourself Games
Cavalry Girls older $11.99 1,877 88% 56k $675k (exactly $675,157) 中子星游戏研究所
Mech Engineer older $14.99 928 74% 28k $417k (exactly $417,322) KiberKreker
Mechs V Kaijus - Tower Defense older $12.99 511 83% 15k $199k (exactly $199,137) Doble Punch Games
Grit and Valor - 1949 $19.99 274 75% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Milky Tea Studios
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
MechDefender - Tower Defense older $4.99 272 76% 8.2k $41k (exactly $40,718) Atomic Fabrik, Cristian Manolachi
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
IRON GUARD: Salvation $17.99 44 93% 1.3k $24k (exactly $23,747) Xlab Digital
WarOS · EA $19.99 29 72% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) The7 Studio
Echoes of the Architects $9.99 46 80% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) GFX47
Temporal Titans · EA $9.99 44 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Lost Tower Games
Battle Echoes $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) rose may games
Nexus Wars · EA $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ajion Arts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.