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Should I ship a Mystery Real Time Tactics?
Real Time Tactics + Mystery
Of 33 developers who shipped a Mystery Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×383 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 43 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $5.0k (exactly $5,033) |
| Top 5% | $240k (exactly $240,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 33 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Real Time Tactics
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Real Time Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Survival
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 79,935 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Outbreak SimFair
- + HackingFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Vehicular CombatPoor odds
- + God GamePoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MECCHA CHAMELEON | $5.99 | 78,746 87% | 2.4M | $14M (exactly $14,150,656) | lemorion_1224 | |
| | At Dead Of Night | older | $15.99 | 3,289 94% | 99k | $1.6M (exactly $1,577,733) | Baggy Cat Ltd. |
| | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
| | JARS | older | $11.99 | 104 71% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $37,409) | Mousetrap Games |
| | Smilers Den Deluxxx | $6.99 | 160 84% | 4.8k | $34k (exactly $33,552) | MikiY | |
| | Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire | $19.99 | 41 70% | 1.2k | $25k (exactly $24,588) | Schell Games | |
| | Wonhon: A Vengeful Spirit | older | $9.99 | 71 66% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $21,279) | BUSAN SANAI GAMES |
| | Deadlock Station | $9.99 | 55 80% | 1.7k | $16k (exactly $16,484) | Luxorix Games | |
| | Dungeons Of The Deep | older | $14.99 | 22 59% | 660 | $9.9k (exactly $9,893) | Gray Mantis |
| | Fantasy Empires | older | $9.99 | 33 84% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Silicon Knights |
| | The HELL | · EA | $9.99 | 30 73% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | METROPOLICE |
| | SPELLHACK!! | $5.99 | 46 91% | 1.4k | $8.3k (exactly $8,266) | Computer Dream | |
| | Expedition: Shadow World | $15.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Pavel Tanonov | |
| | CoinPit | $6.99 | 24 66% | 720 | $5.0k (exactly $5,033) | Trollix Games | |
| | Climber Girl | $7.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | AlterLab Development |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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