Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + World War II

Of 24 developers who shipped a WWII Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $67k, ×107 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2761 the market median. Revenue is up 485% on the market; 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 107.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 485% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $108k → $95k → $150 → $164k → $2.2k → $278k (still earning) → $67k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Median $67k (exactly $67,462)
Top 25% $372k (exactly $371,576)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 95
Announced 35
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 485% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RTS, Strategy, Tactical
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 8,728 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.3k, median $67k, 1 in 4 over $370k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  9. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  10. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds33 devs · median $6.4k · 59 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Company of Heroes 3 older $59.99 24,516 59% 735k $44M (exactly $44,121,445) Relic Entertainment
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront older $34.99 32,183 85% 965k $34M (exactly $33,782,495) Barbedwire Studios, Digitalmindsoft
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 older $29.99 35,744 91% 1.1M $32M (exactly $32,158,877) Digitalmindsoft
Men of War II older $44.99 5,614 60% 168k $7.6M (exactly $7,577,216) Best Way
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts older $34.99 6,664 62% 200k $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) Game-Labs
Partisans 1941 older $29.99 7,531 82% 226k $6.8M (exactly $6,775,641) Alter Games
Company of Heroes older $14.99 12,612 94% 378k $5.7M (exactly $5,671,616) Relic Entertainment
War on the Sea older $39.99 3,151 76% 95k $3.8M (exactly $3,780,255) Killerfish Games
Sudden Strike 4 older $19.99 6,249 78% 187k $3.7M (exactly $3,747,525) Kite Games
Steel Division: Normandy 44 older $19.99 4,765 74% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,857,570) Eugen Systems
Commandos: Origins $49.99 1,844 79% 55k $2.8M (exactly $2,765,447) Claymore Game Studios
Call to Arms: Panzer Elite · EA $29.99 1,927 69% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722) Digitalmindsoft
Sudden Strike 5 $49.99 641 75% 19k $961k (exactly $961,308) Kite Games
Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand $29.99 1,015 49% 30k $913k (exactly $913,196) Relic Entertainment
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
63 Days $29.99 413 72% 12k $372k (exactly $371,576) Destructive Creations
Warfare Legacy Collection $9.99 1,115 92% 33k $334k (exactly $334,166) Con Artist Games
Trench Lord: Eastern Front $11.99 774 83% 23k $278k (exactly $278,408) Tracer Studio, LING YUN CO.,LTD.
Grit and Valor - 1949 $19.99 274 75% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Milky Tea Studios
Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare $39.99 92 60% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Evil Twin Artworks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.