Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Steampunk

Only 10 developers shipped a Steampunk Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ratten Reich, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $15k against a market of $630. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 24.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 24 announced, ×12 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $704k → $23k → $30k
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Median $15k (exactly $15,103)
Top 25% $164k (exactly $164,318)
Top 5% $369k (exactly $369,415)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 65% positive over 1,701 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.0k, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Airship: Kingdoms Adrift older $29.99 902 75% 27k $812k (exactly $811,529) Revolution Industry
Dark Envoy older $29.99 783 69% 23k $704k (exactly $704,465) Event Horizon
Ratten Reich $19.99 616 40% 18k $369k (exactly $369,415) METALLADLERSTUDIO
Shardpunk older $13.99 739 92% 22k $310k (exactly $310,158) Clockwork Pile
Castle Of Alchemists $14.99 618 80% 19k $278k (exactly $277,915) Team Machiavelli
Grit and Valor - 1949 $19.99 274 75% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Milky Tea Studios
Battlecruisers older $9.99 386 83% 12k $116k (exactly $115,684) Mecha Weka
ReRoad older $14.99 104 74% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) Rabbithole Games
Break Siege · EA $14.99 66 84% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) FojoGames
Nuke Them All older $9.99 76 82% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Indie PapaMike
HEXSTORM: Tears of Arcadia $8.99 56 75% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) Tearevo
Reclaim The Sea $11.99 41 75% 1.2k $15k (exactly $14,748) 1LastGame
Augmented Empire $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Coatsink
Hello Operator $7.99 2 0% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Leapfrog Studio LLC
RFA Station $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) AK Studio
Conveyor $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Levchenko Viktor

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.