Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Science

Only 7 developers shipped a Science Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Screeps: Arena, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,588)
Top 5% $63k (exactly $62,968)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 30
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 932 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $150, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reactor Tech² older $14.99 353 68% 11k $159k (exactly $158,744) 4Co
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Microcosmum 2 older $9.99 113 56% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Satur Entertainment
Lazy Galaxy older $4.99 188 78% 5.6k $28k (exactly $28,144) Coldwild Games, Vladimir Slav, Elena Na… (Coldwild Games, Vladimir Slav, Elena Nazarenko)
Beetle Uprising older $9.99 87 72% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,074) Iocane Games, LLC
C.A.R.S. - Creating A Ridiculous Shitshow $7.99 40 97% 1.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,588) 3Dads Studios
Gelluloid Domination $11.99 13 84% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Tractor Set GO!
WarBreeds older $5.99 25 84% 750 $4.5k (exactly $4,492) Red Orb Entertainment
Neonverse Defenders · EA older $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) PNYX GAMES
Ministry of Pandemic older $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Ceyhan Kapusuz, Ecem Baysal Kapusuz
Math4TopDogs $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mathsandcau
Orion Wars $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Sneeden Software
Slimedrop Laboratory $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Laxias Games
Web Wars $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Phantom Jelly Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.