Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Demons

Of 24 developers who shipped a Demon Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $94k, ×150 the market median. Revenue is up 1405% on the market; 32 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1405% on the market, 32 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $449 → $269 → $1.9k → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $94,106)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 55
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1405% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RTS, Tower Defense
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 648 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $840, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Dungeons 4 older $49.99 2,392 86% 72k $3.6M (exactly $3,587,282) Realmforge Studios
Sumerian Six older $29.99 1,101 94% 33k $991k (exactly $990,570) Artificer
Yokai Art: Night Parade of One Hundred Demons older $6.99 1,132 89% 34k $237k (exactly $237,380) Secret Labo
Wartorn $34.99 130 73% 3.9k $136k (exactly $136,461) Stray Kite Studios
Spirits of the Hellements - TD older $11.99 326 92% 9.8k $117k (exactly $117,262) Hippo Rider Games
Yokai Art 2: Tales of the Nine-Tails $9.99 314 75% 9.4k $94k (exactly $94,106) Secret Labo
Blade Prince Academy older $19.99 58 65% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Angel Corp
Flow Of War $12.99 40 85% 1.2k $16k (exactly $15,588) Rongcon Games
The HELL · EA $9.99 30 73% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) METROPOLICE
The Demon King's Daughters $2.99 52 76% 1.6k $4.7k (exactly $4,664) maruhani
Runeomicon $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) TLR Games
Party Demon $3.99 30 96% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Barely Alive Studio, Crafted Mayhem
Notice Me Leena-senpai! $7.99 11 81% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Yanako RPGs, GameDevTosh
Deck Vs Doom $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Danial Rashidi
Master of the House DX $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Qui3tdog

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.