Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ game?

LGBTQ+

Of 947 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,330 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×53 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×9374 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 1,330 games are announced against 558 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 52.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 1,330 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 947
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $12k → $6.7k → $8.1k → $6.3k → $7.5k → $4.3k (still earning) → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 947
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,300)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,784)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,115,554)
Developers, 2 yr 947
Released games 4,063
Announced 1,330
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Price point
$8.90 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.90.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 794,267 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 7 in 10 of the 703 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,330 games are announced against 558 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with LGBTQ+

94 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Metroidvania + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $12k 15 devs
  2. Walking Simulator + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $11k 29 devs
  3. Word Game + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $11k 38 devs
  4. Deckbuilding + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $10k 18 devs
  5. Otome + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $9.9k 45 devs
  6. Choices Matter + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $9.8k 350 devs
  7. Exploration + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $9.8k 161 devs
  8. Turn-Based Tactics + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $9.4k 37 devs
  9. RPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $8.7k 311 devs
  10. 3D Platformer + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $8.2k 25 devs
  11. Dynamic Narration + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $8.2k 12 devs
  12. Card Game + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $8.1k 27 devs
  13. Card Battler + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $8.1k 18 devs
  14. Choose Your Own Adventure + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $7.8k 241 devs
  15. Turn-Based Combat + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $7.3k 58 devs
  16. Tactical RPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $7.3k 16 devs
  17. Platformer + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $7.2k 42 devs
  18. Shooter + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $7.0k 35 devs
  19. Action Roguelike + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.7k 23 devs
  20. Strategy RPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.7k 19 devs
  21. Party-Based RPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.5k 24 devs
  22. PvP + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.3k 13 devs
  23. Multiple Endings + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.3k 321 devs
  24. Visual Novel + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $5.9k 525 devs
  25. Dungeon Crawler + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $5.8k 36 devs
  26. JRPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $5.1k 74 devs
  27. Interactive Fiction + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $4.9k 260 devs
  28. PvE + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $4.7k 26 devs
  29. Score Attack + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $3.9k 18 devs
  30. Point & Click + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $3.1k 95 devs
  31. Bullet Hell + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $3.0k 19 devs
  32. CRPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $2.9k 21 devs
  33. Creature Collector + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $2.9k 18 devs
  34. Shoot 'Em Up + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $2.2k 15 devs
  35. Puzzle + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $1.9k 133 devs
  36. 2D Platformer + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $1.7k 79 devs
  37. Puzzle Platformer + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $1.7k 16 devs
  38. Incremental + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $1.3k 51 devs
  39. Collectathon + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $1.2k 27 devs
  40. Local Multiplayer + LGBTQ+ Dead $31k 10 devs
  41. Turn-Based + LGBTQ+ Dead $27k 9 devs
  42. Souls-like + LGBTQ+ Dead $23k 15 devs
  43. Precision Platformer + LGBTQ+ Dead $17k 10 devs
  44. Third-Person Shooter + LGBTQ+ Dead $8.2k 6 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Cyberpunk 2077 2020 · $1.6B Baldur's Gate 3 2023 · $1.4B Dead by Daylight 2016 · $411M Kingdom Come: Deliverance II 2025 · $260M Hades 2020 · $214M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyberpunk 2077 older $59.99 883,400 87% 27M $1.6B (exactly $1,589,854,980) CD PROJEKT RED
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
Dead by Daylight older $19.99 685,423 78% 21M $411M (exactly $411,048,173) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II $59.99 144,558 93% 4.3M $260M (exactly $260,161,033) Warhorse Studios
Hades older $24.99 285,748 97% 8.6M $214M (exactly $214,225,276) Supergiant Games
Dispatch $29.99 174,624 97% 5.2M $157M (exactly $157,109,213) AdHoc Studio
Borderlands 4 $69.99 57,874 59% 1.7M $122M (exactly $121,518,038) Gearbox Software
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
DELTARUNE $24.99 124,894 98% 3.7M $94M (exactly $93,633,032) tobyfox
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard $59.99 41,393 67% 1.2M $74M (exactly $74,494,982) BioWare
Marvel's Spider-Man 2 $59.99 33,433 83% 1.0M $60M (exactly $60,169,370) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
God of War Ragnarök $59.99 32,502 89% 975k $58M (exactly $58,493,849) Santa Monica Studio, Jetpack Interactive
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
NBA 2K26 $69.99 25,651 66% 770k $54M (exactly $53,859,405) Visual Concepts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.