Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + LGBTQ+

Only 18 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Deckbuilding in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, In Falsus, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $940k, ×1990 the market median. Revenue is up 8215% on the market; 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 8215% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $1.4k → $55k → $66k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,938)
Median $10k (exactly $10,132)
Top 25% $111k (exactly $110,956)
Top 5% $945k (exactly $945,364)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 43
Announced 28
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8215% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Card Game, Strategy
Price point
$13.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,137 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $940k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Potionomics older $24.99 6,973 90% 209k $5.2M (exactly $5,227,658) Voracious Games
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
In Falsus $39.99 788 89% 24k $945k (exactly $945,364) lowiro
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
Battle Suit Aces $19.99 347 90% 10k $208k (exactly $208,096) Trinket Studios
Wander Stars $24.99 148 92% 4.4k $111k (exactly $110,956) Paper Castle Games
FUTA FUCKS FEMBOYS $12.99 276 88% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) Horny Capybara Studio
Eternal Destiny older $9.99 225 78% 6.8k $67k (exactly $67,432) Office 5656
Sexorcism: Lust Confession $7.99 277 70% 8.3k $66k (exactly $66,397) Kinky Business Group
Hyperspace Deck Command $19.99 91 95% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) Sleeper Games
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
KreatureKind $14.99 18 83% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Valiant Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.