Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + LGBTQ+

Of 25 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $600k, ×964 the market median. Revenue is up 485% on the market; 44 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 485% on the market, 44 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $42k → $21k → $26k → $599 → $67k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $653 (exactly $653)
Median $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $39,916)
Top 5% $605k (exactly $605,375)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 86
Announced 44
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 485% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 16,752 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $8.2k, 1 in 4 over $39k, 1 in 20 over $600k.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 7 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Indiana Jones and the Great Circle 2024 · $27M Psychonauts 2 2021 · $22M Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash 2024 · $5.5M Lil Gator Game 2022 · $2.7M HoneySelect2Libido DX 2022 · $2.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Psychonauts 2 older $59.99 12,333 95% 370k $22M (exactly $22,195,700) Double Fine Productions
Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash older $59.99 3,051 60% 92k $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) Byking Inc.
Lil Gator Game older $19.99 4,511 98% 135k $2.7M (exactly $2,705,247) MegaWobble
HoneySelect2Libido DX older $69.99 1,283 82% 38k $2.7M (exactly $2,693,915) ILLUSION
SAMURAI MAIDEN older $59.99 648 60% 19k $1.2M (exactly $1,166,206) SHADE Inc.
Here Comes Niko! older $24.99 1,050 92% 32k $787k (exactly $787,185) Frog Vibes
Funi Raccoon Game $11.99 1,683 99% 50k $605k (exactly $605,375) Crayon, Kit
Disney Epic Mickey 2: The Power of Two older $19.99 973 78% 29k $584k (exactly $583,508) Junction Point
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Possessor(s) $9.99 718 75% 22k $215k (exactly $215,185) Heart Machine
Nakara $9.99 310 91% 9.3k $93k (exactly $92,907) R3dspike
Misc. A Tiny Tale $19.99 112 99% 3.4k $67k (exactly $67,166) Tinyware Games
Jumping Jazz Cats $8.99 148 74% 4.4k $40k (exactly $39,916) Le Catnip Collective
Tiny Treats $19.99 48 97% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Hans Woofington
CatboyZOOM · EA $9.99 95 97% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Ethan Vuong, Brae Stoltz
Angel Essence $4.99 177 99% 5.3k $26k (exactly $26,497) g3bsoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.